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We continue into the weekend with a pair of contests for today. Things get started early in Washington at 2 p.m. EST, with the Mystics taking on the Aces. To close out the evening, the Dallas Wings will look to build on their first win after an unfortunate 11-game losing streak when they head to Seattle to take on the Storm at 9 p.m. EST.
Let’s not waste any more time and jump right into some of our favorite selections for June 29. Here are our top WNBA prop bet picks for Saturday’s slate of games.
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Saturday’s Top 5 WNBA Player Prop Bets
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
Ariel Atkins Higher 1.5 Three-Pointers (+105)
Ariel Atkins has had a rough go from beyond the arc as of late. After averaging two or more three-pointers for five games straight, she has only made one in the last three games.
The positive action makes sense due to the recent production. However, Atkins is averaging 1.6 three-pointers on the season. Today, she faces a Las Vegas team that is quite generous in conceding points and allowing threes.
The Aces allow just under 85 points and 30.2 field goals per game. As for three-pointers, Las Vegas gives up the second-highest amount at 8.8, along with a 38.5% shooting percentage€”the highest in the league.
The return of Aaliyah Edwards should certainly open up the floor so that Atkins can receive a few more open shots from beyond the perimeter as well.
Jackie Young Higher 18.5 Points (-120)
On the other end of the floor, Jackie Young has the opportunity to improve on what has already been a career-high average in scoring (18.4). This seems like a fantastic spot for the Las Vegas guard, who has exceeded 18.5 points in 9-of-14 games. In the last five contests, Young is averaging 21.2 points, on 46% shooting, with 4.0 three-pointers.
Washington is allowing over 82 points on 44.4% shooting, 7.9 three-pointers, and 17.1 free-throw attempts made per game. The Aces have averaged over 93 points per game over the last six contests, scoring 100 points or more in two of six.
With Chelsea Gray returning from injury, Young gets to put more emphasis on scoring instead of creating opportunities for other teammates.
Skylar Diggins-Smith Higher 6.5 Assists (-115)
Skylar Diggins-Smith has fit in swimmingly with her new team over the first 17 games. The Storm currently owns the fourth-best record in the league, including winning 10 of 13 previous contests.
The Seattle guard is averaging 6.2 assists on the season. She has successfully cleared 6.5 in the last three of six games. These numbers may seem a bit too tight to get behind, though. The opponent is what puts us over the edge on this selection.
The Wings are coming off a tremendous win against the Minnesota Lynx. Prior to that, they were unable to secure a win in 11 straight games. This team struggles mightily on the defensive end. Dallas allows the opposition to score over 87 points per game on 45% shooting from the field and 7.5 three-pointers.
Given the Wings are allowing 22.7 assists per game, we feel that’s more than enough room for Diggins-Smith to exceed 6.5 dimes in what should be a high-paced affair.
Natasha Howard Lower 14.5 Points (-120)
The Dallas veteran heads into a matchup against Seattle, sporting an average of 15.8 points in five games played. Before the previous contest, the average hovered over 18.0. The Storm only allow 37 points in the paint per game and 10.4 points off second-chance opportunities, while they hold the opposition to only 28.2 field goals per game.
Seattle is not only masterful at keeping volume down, but the team efficiently subdues shooting percentages. The opposition is only knocking down field goals at 42% and 33% from deep. Another area of concern would be Howard’s minutes, which have been anything but consistent, ranging from 20 to 36 for an average of 26.
Seattle has way too formidable of defense to feel comfortable backing a higher total than 14.5 points if Howard cannot play over 30 minutes. The possibility of this game getting out of hand early only furthers the reluctance.
Arike Ogunbowale Lower 22.5 Points (+100)
As previously stated, Dallas does not have the best matchup against a stringent Seattle defense; this is especially so in regards to guards.
The Storm put tremendous pressure on the perimeter, which has limited opponents to only 21 attempts per game and a very low success rate of 33%. The last time these two teams faced-off, Arike Ogunbowale played 36 minutes, and finished with a total of 24 points.
There’s a very likely scenario where Seattle blankets the Dallas guard, forcing others on the team to have to make shots.
Over the last six games, the top-scoring guard option for the opposition is averaging 20.8 points per game. Which leaves a little room to breathe, but not much.
This will be a sweat, though, for a +100 selection, a little pressure is more than tolerable.
Enjoy the games today, and good luck with your picks!
