Chiefs vs Ravens Props – Best Player Props to Bet for AFC Title Game
by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football
Updated Jan 28, 2024 · 10:07 AM PST
Kansas City Chiefs Isiah Pacheco keeps tries to screen Patrick Mahomes while Mahomes looks for an open receiver.The Ravens host the Chiefs at 3:00 pm EST Sunday in the AFC Championship GameWe’re targeting running backs from both teams to have success on Sunday in our Chiefs vs Ravens propsSee odds for passing, rushing, receiving and touchdown props for all players in this Chiefs vs Ravens matchup
Patrick Mahomes is looking to go to the Super Bowl for the fourth time, while Lamar Jackson is trying to get to the big game for the first time in his career. Both quarterbacks have TD passing totals of 1.5 in Sunday’s Chiefs vs Ravens props. Meanwhile, Travis Kelce has the highest receiving yards total among all receivers. We’re covering our top prop picks the AFC title game here.
See the full list of props and odds for the Chiefs vs Ravens player props below.
Chiefs vs Ravens Player Props
Passer | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
---|---|---|---|
Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 19.5 (O -105 | U -125) | 209.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O +145 | U -190) |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) | 24.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 240.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 1.5 (O -130 | U +100 ) |
Rusher | Rushing Attempts | Rushing Yards | Rushing + Receiving Yards |
Gus Edwards (BAL) | 10.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 44.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 52.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Isiah Pacheco (KC) | 13.5 (O -150 | U +120) | 63.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 84.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Justice Hill (BAL) | 7.5 (O +105 | U -135) | 32.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 48.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 10.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 65.5 (O -130 | U +100) | OFF |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) | 4.5 (O -130 | U +100) | 26.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
Justin Watson (KC) | OFF | OFF | 14.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) | OFF | OFF | 14.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Odell Beckham Jr (BAL) | OFF | OFF | 20.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Rashee Rice (KC) | OFF | OFF | 59.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Rashod Bateman (BAL) | OFF | OFF | 22.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Zay Flowers (BAL) | OFF | OFF | 43.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Receiver | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
Isiah Pacheco (KC) | 3.5 (O +100 | U -130) | 17.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 10.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
Justice Hill (KC) | 2.5 (O +135 | U -175) | 12.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 8.5 (O -125 | U -105) |
Justin Watson (KC) | 1.5 (O +100 | U -130) | 14.5 (O -130 | U +100) | 11.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) | 1.5 (O +114 | U -145) | 14.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 11.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Gus Edwards (BAL | 0.5 (-210 | U +160) | OFF | OFF |
Odell Beckham Jr (BAL) | 1.5 (O -175 | U +135) | 19,5 (O -120 | U -110) | 13.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Rashee Rice (KC) | 6.5 (O +124 | U -160) | 59.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 20.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
Rashod Bateman (BAL) | 2.5 (O +145 | U -190) | 22.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 13.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
Travis Kelce (KC) | 5.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 62.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 20.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Zay Flowers (BAL) | 4.5 (O +135 | U -175) | 41.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 18.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Mark Andrews (BAL) | 3.5 (O +105 | U -135) | 35.5 (O -120 | U -110) | OFF |
Noah Gray (KC) | 1.5 (O +130 | U -166) | OFF | OFF |
Mecole Hardman (KC) | 1.5 (O +124 | U -160) | OFF | 7.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
Nelson Agholor (BAL) | OFF | 14.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 10.5 (O -125 | U -105) |
Among all of the Chiefs vs Ravens player props, both quarterbacks have a passing touchdown prop of 1.5. Patrick Mahomes is favored to go Over that total at -130, while Lamar Jackson is favored to go Under at -190.
As of 1:00 pm ET on Sunday, the most-bet-on player props at DraftKings Sportsbook were Mahomes over 1.5 touchdowns (-130), Lamar Jackson over 64.5 (-135) rushing yards, and Lamar Jackson over 1.5 TD passes (+120). The public was also betting heavily on Travis Kelce over 49.5 receiving yards (-225) and Mahomes over 224.5 passing yards (-180).
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Odds as of Jan. 27 on the DraftKings Sportsbook app.
Chiefs vs Ravens Props #1: Justice Hill Receiving Yards
This week’s NFL props sees Ravens’ running back Justice Hill lined at 12.5 in the receiving yards props.
Hill fell just below that number last week against the Texans with 11 yards, but had receiving totals of 26, 64 and 31 yards in the three games prior.
Opposing running backs out of the backfield have been finding success against the Chiefs in recent weeks which should lead to John Harbaugh using Hill as a receiver this week. Last week each of James Cook (21), Ty Johnson (14) and Latavius Murray (27) all finished with receiving totals over 12.5.
De’Von Achane had 21 yards for Miami the game prior and if you look back further the leading running back from a receiving yards standpoint has finished with 38, 23, 1, 21, 21, 14, 15, 31, 32, 16, 1, 16, 20, 13, 11, 9 and 18 yards in reverse order this season. In some of those games multiple running backs exceeded 12.5 yards receiving.
The one game that fell under that number in the past 12 where no running back exceeded that number, was against the Raiders in Week 16. That game saw Las Vegas attempt only one pass to a running back, Ameer Abdullah, for 1 yard.
Chiefs vs Ravens Prop Picks: Justice Hill over 12.5 receiving yards (-125); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
"JUSTICE WILL BE SERVED!"@PaulCharchian will be slamming his gavel on Justice Hill OVERS this Sunday.🔥@ErinHawksworth | @JoeOstrowski pic.twitter.com/w5aijn3ZdJ
— BetQL Daily (@BetQLDaily) January 26, 2024
Chiefs vs Ravens Props #2: Isiah Pacheco Rushing & Receiving Yards
The Ravens have an elite defense. They were 1st in the regular season in PPG allowed, but their rushing defense was about average at 14th in yards per game allowed.
Last week they held Texans’ running back Devin Singletary to just 29 yards rushing, though Singletary did have 48 yards receiving. Dare Ogunbowale also had one catch for 13 yards out of the backfield. Still not bad, but those totals would come in around Isiah Pacheco’s rushing and receiving yards prop this week of 84.5.
But when you look back further, the Ravens in rushing yards alone, have been giving up way over this total in recent weeks. In reverse order starting in Week 18 they gave up 145, 140, 103, 34, 123, 40, 89 and 139 yards on the ground.
Season-long, if we look at individual running backs and combine their rushing and receiving stats ten different running backs have gone over this number against Baltimore.
NFL Player Props for Conference Championships – Best Props to Bet for NFL PlayoffsRead More
Pacheco is really the only guy who runs for the Chiefs, having accounted for 39 of KC’s 58 rush attempts in the playoffs so far. Patrick Mahomes has made 8 carries, while Clyde Edwards-Helaire has 9 and Mecole Hardman has 2.
Pacheco had 97 yards rushing and 14 receiving versus the Bills (111 total) and 89 yards rushing and -1 receiving versus the Dolphins (88) in KC’s two playoff games and has gone over 84.5 yards in five of his last six games. He’s also scored touchdowns in five of six games for a total of six TDs in that stretch, making him a strong contender for Chiefs vs Ravens touchdown props as well.
Chiefs vs Ravens Prop Picks: Isiah Pacheco over 84.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Chiefs vs Ravens Touchdown Scorer Props
Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD Lamar Jackson (BAL) +600 +105 Travis Kelce (KC) +750 +115 Isiah Pacheco (KC) +850 +125 Gus Edwards (BAL) +750 +130 Rashee Rice (KC) +950 +150 Zay Flowers (BAL) +1000 +180 Mark Andrews (BAL) +1200 +215 Justice Hill (BAL) +1500 +295 Odell Beckham Jr (BAL) +1700 +330 Isaiah Likely (BAL) +1600 +340 The Ravens’ Lamar Jackson owns the shortest odds in the anytime touchdown props bets for this game at +105 odds, while also being the shortest to score the first touchdown at +600.
Ravens activate TE Mark Andrews from IR, will play in AFC Championship game. (via @rapsheet) pic.twitter.com/hF4Fe7EWPa
— NFL (@NFL) January 26, 2024
Chiefs vs Ravens Props #3: Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown
Mark Andrews has been activated off of the Chiefs vs Ravens injury report and is set to return from an ankle injury that has kept him out since November 16.
Andrews had six touchdowns in his 10 games prior to the injury and since that time backup TE Isaiah Likely has filled in admirably. Likely had zero touchdowns prior to Andrews getting injured but has six in the games since, including one last week and scores in five of his past six games. So the Ravens have continued to find success throwing to the tight end position even without Andrews.
It’s hard to see Likely being completely phased out after that sort of performance, but he’ll surely see fewer looks with Andrews back in the picture and you can be sure Jackson will be thrilled to get his most reliable target back. We’ll take Andrews in our Chiefs vs Ravens picks to return to action with a TD score.
Chiefs vs Ravens Prop Picks: Mark Andrews anytime touchdown (+215); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
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