Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Predictions, Picks & Probable Pitchers (July 10)
by Ethan Stone in MLB Baseball
Updated Jul 10, 2024 · 7:07 AM PDT
Jul 8, 2024; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Minnesota Twins outfielder Manuel Margot (13) hits an RBI-ground out against the Chicago White Sox during the 11th inning at Guaranteed Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY SportsThe Chicago White Sox (26-67, 16-30 Home) face off against the standout Minnesota Twins (52-39, 25-21 Away) Wednesday at 2:10 on MLB Network. Today features a doubleheader between the White Sox and Twins after Tuesday night’s game was rained out. The Twins took Game 1 on Monday, 8-6.See the probable pitchers, odds and a prediction for Wednesday’s game below.
The worst record in Major League Baseball hosts one of the best in the America League Wednesday for the first game in a doubleheader. Last night’s game between the White Sox and Twins was rained out, meaning the 2 will play a pair to decide the series after Minnesota took Game 1 on Monday, 8-6.
The Twins have a winning record on the road while the White Sox are under .333 at home. The Twins have also won 7 of their last 9 while Chicago has lost 6 of their last 8.
Keep scrolling for the top odds, probable pitchers and a prediction for the first in Wednesday’s doubleheader.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
CHI vs. MIN pick: MIN -1.5
Minnesota is far and away the better batting team in this matchup and has the edge in the bullpen as well, but these starting pitchers are about even which at first made me hesitant to take Minnesota -1.5 at +105.
But at the end of the day, this one doesn’t take much explanation. The White Sox have been flat out terrible this season except for some solid pitching from today’s starter Erick Fedde and Garrett Crochet. The White Sox don’t have a batter with more than 50 at-bats hitting over .250 this season while Minnesota has 7 such batters.
Fedde may keep things close for a bit, but I doubt this will be interesting late.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds
Team | Runline | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Minnesota Twins | -1.5 (+105) | -160 | O 8 (-115) |
Chicago White Sox | +1.5 (-125) | +130 | U 8 (-105) |
Odds above via Fanatics Sportsbook. Check out our Fanatics Promo Code for a look at one of the best welcome offers in the business.
As you can see, Minnesota is considered fairly heavy road favorites for Wednesday’s game, but in my opinion the odds are still lower than I’d have guessed coming in.
The Twins sit at -160 ML with Chicago +130 to win outright. Chicago is favored to keep the game within a run at +1.5 while Minnesota holds +105 odds to win by 2 or more runs.
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The Over/Under for Wednesday’s first game is set at 8, a fair number considering the caliber of pitchers set to hit the mound. The over is just slightly favored.
White Sox vs. Twins Pitching Matchup
Erick Fedde vs Bailey Ober
FeddeVSOber
6-3 | Record | 8-4 |
3.13 | ERA | 4.12 |
3.58 | xERA | 3.61 |
1.13 | WHIP | 1.10 |
106.1 | IP | 94.0 |
White Sox pitcher Erick Fedde, despite Chicago’s struggles, is putting together by far the best season of his career in Major League Baseball.
Fedde, who used to play for the Nationals, has his best K/BB ratio of his career, is on track to shoot well past his most innings pitched in a single year and is well on track to surpass his season high for strikeouts in a year.
Fedde has yet to face the Twins this season, but he’s had some trouble in the past against this lineup. The Twins are hitting .304 against Fedde with 10 hits in 33 at-bats. Carlos Santana has accounted for nearly half those at-bats and 3 of those 10 hits.
Bailey Ober will take the mound opposite Fedde, and he’s fared really well against the White Sox. Chicago’s lineup is hitting just .253 against Ober with strong success against Andrew Vaughn, the White Sox’ top hitter.
It seems Ober has only gotten better as the season has progressed, too. He’s earned a win in 4 of his last 5 starts and has struck out at least 8 in 4 of his last 5. If you’re wondering, his line for Ks today sits at 6.5 (O +1.5 Fanatics)
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